Cleveland Indians: Projecting pitchers and hitters' stats to a full season

Asdrubal Cabrera on pace for 76 extra-base hits, 107 runs, 96 RBI, 25 stolen bases. Fausto Carmona on pace for 8-21 record.

Chuck Crow, The Plain DealerIndians shortstop Asdrubal Cabrera is playing at an all-star level as the season nears its halfway point.

CLEVELAND, Ohio -- The Cleveland Indians, idle on Thursday, have played 79 of their 162-game schedule.

The Tribe is 42-37, a half game behind the first-place Detroit Tigers in the American League Central Division. Cleveland won 30 of its first 45 games, but is 12-22 since.

At their pace after 79 games, the Indians would finish with an 86-76 record, well beyond expectations for them as the season began.

The Indians, barring a rainout, will be at the halfway point of their schedule following Friday and Saturday's games against the Reds in Cincinnati.

Let's project what the full-season statistics will be for Indians players, based on their current numbers. Multiply the numbers by a shade more than 2.05, and the following is roughly a part of what you get:

Starting pitchers

Justin Masterson  10-12 with a 2.98 ERA, 154 strikeouts, 72 walks and just six home runs allowed in 216 innings.

Carlos Carrasco  16-8 with a 3.54 ERA, 123 strikeouts, just 47 walks and 14 homers in 193 innings.

Josh Tomlin  18-8 with a 3.86 ERA, 119 strikeouts, 29 homers and just 25 walks in 210 innings.

Fausto Carmona  8-21 with a 5.89 ERA, 125 strikeouts, 68 walks and 31 homers in 210 innings.

(We don't project stats for Mitch Talbot, who has returned to the rotation after being sidelined with an elbow strain and has made just nine starts; Alex White, sidelined by a sprained finger ligament after three starts; Jeanmar Gomez, now at Class AAA Columbus)

Relief pitchers

Chris Perez  68 games, 4-6 with 39 saves and a 2.37 ERA, allowing just 45 hits and two homers in 62 innings.

Joe Smith  57 games, 4-2 with a 1.03 ERA, allowing no homers in 54 innings.

Vinnie Pestano  65 games, 2-0 with a 1.52 ERA, with 82 strikeouts and allowing just 31 hits in 61 innings. 

Rafael Perez  74 games, 6-2 with a 1.65 ERA, allowing just 53 hits and no homers in 67 innings.

Tony Sipp  74 games, 6-2 with a 2.41 ERA, allowing just 35 hits in 69 innings, but 10 homers. 

Chad Durbin  57 games, 4-2 with a 6.68 ERA, with 57 strikeouts in 64 innings, but allowing 88 hits.

Frank Herrmann  29 games, 0-0 with a 5.06 ERA, with 39 strikeouts in 44 innings, but allowing 56 hits and eight homers.

Hitters

(We project stats for Travis Hafner, although he was sidelined with a strained oblique; for Grady Sizemore, although he was twice sidelined with knee problems; for Matt LaPorta, who is out with a sprained ankle; for Shin-Soo Choo, who is out for about two months after surgery for a broken thumb, but whose current stats give a fair indication of where his season was headed at his pace before the injury. We don't project stats for Lonnie Chisenhall, who has eight at bats, and Cord Phelps, who has 41 at bats)

Travis Hafner  .336, 275 at bats, 18 doubles, 14 homers, 39 runs, 59 RBI (one per every 4.66 at bats), 35 walks, 66 strikeouts.

Asdrubal Cabrera  .296, 664 at bats, 43 doubles, six triples, 27 homers, 107 runs, 96 RBI, 41 walks, 115 strikeouts, 25 stolen bases in 27 attempts.

Michael Brantley  .267, 599 at bats, 27 doubles, six triples, 10 homers, 86 runs, 59 RBI, 59 walks, 96 strikeouts, 18 stolen bases in 24 attempts.

Orlando Cabrera  .257, 527 at bats, 25 doubles, eight homers, 64 runs, 70 RBI, 21 walks, 66 strikeouts, 10 stolen bases in 12 attempts.

Shin-Soo Choo  .244, 545 at bats, 21 doubles, four triples, 10 homers, 62 runs, 57 RBI, 64 walks, 133 strikeouts, 23 stolen bases in 31 attempts.

Matt LaPorta  .242, 406 at bats, 21 doubles, two triples, 16 homers, 49 runs, 64 RBI, 35 walks, 96 strikeouts.

Carlos Santana  .226, 527 at bats, 29 doubles, 23 homers, 74 runs, 74 RBI, 111 walks, 125 strikeouts, six stolen bases in 10 attempts.

Grady Sizemore  .226, 381 at bats, 35 doubles, two triples, 14 homers, 47 runs, 41 RBI, 25 walks, 123 strikeouts, no stolen bases in four attempts.

(Sizemore's projected stats, more than any other player, are somewhat deceptive because of a quick start still having a large impact within relatively few at bats.

Sizemore hit six homers in his first 74 at bats; one in 112 at bats since. He had 17 hits in his first 45 at bats (.378) with 10 strikeouts. Since then, he is 25-for-141 (.177) with 50 strikeouts and nine walks). 

Jack Hannahan  .215, 439 at bats, 23 doubles, 10 homers, 53 runs, 43 RBI, 57 walks, 109 strikeouts.

Lou Marson  .245, 193 at bats, eight doubles, four triples, no homers, 14 runs, 14 RBI, 14 walks, 41 strikeouts.

Travis Buck  .241, 230 at bats, 16 doubles, four homers, 35 runs, 23 RBI, 12 walks, 41 strikeouts.

Shelley Duncan  .211, 185 at bats, 14 doubles, four homers, 16 runs, 35 RBI, eight walks, 55 strikeouts.

(Duncan's excellent rate of one RBI per every 5.29 at bats is due in large part to taking advantage of his situations as a pinch-hitter, going 4-for-7 with seven RBI. Otherwise, he has one RBI per every 8.3 at bats)

Austin Kearns  .194, 201 at bats, 10 doubles, two triples, no homers, 21 runs, four RBI, 18 walks, 74 strikeouts.

(Impressive numbers highlighted in bold; subpar numbers highlighted in italics [including some in both categories in a per inning or per at bat basis, and/or depending on the individual player's role]) 

Source: http://www.cleveland.com/ohio-sports-blog/index.ssf/2011/06/cleveland_indians_projecting_p.html

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